iGrain India - Melbourne. Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has said that the La Nina weather cycle is being monitored and the announcement made in this regard two weeks ago is not a guarantee that it will definitely become active.
It is known that due to the effect of La Nina, there is good rainfall in active and distant places especially in India. About two weeks ago, BOM had talked about the arrival of this weather cycle.
It said that El Nino has become almost inactive in the Pacific Ocean, the situation may remain neutral for some time and after that La Nina weather cycle may develop.
Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) is also making a similar prediction but the view of the Australian weather agency has changed now. According to BOM, four out of seven models indicate that the sea surface temperature (SST) will remain at the neutral Iran SO level, while the remaining three models indicate that this SST may cool down and start coming from disturbed to La Nina level.
El Nino Southern (NYSE:SO) Oscillation (ENSO) has become almost neutral at present, which means that there is neither the outbreak of El Nino nor the effect of La Nina. According to the Meteorological Bureau, even if La Nina develops in the Pacific Ocean, it may happen in the last months of the year 2024.
But at present, no guarantee can be given about La Nina becoming active. Right now its chances are 50-50 percent and it is very possible that its activity increases in August-September.